On January 7, President Trump officially recognized the results of last year’s election and guaranteed the “smooth transfer” of power. So far, two months have passed since the US election last year. In the past two months, Trump refused to recognize the results of the election, used allegations lacking factual basis to undermine the credibility of the American electoral system, and tried all means to overthrow the election results.
Judging from the results, the political dividend that Trump brought to the Republican Party in 2016 has been exhausted in the past four years. After losing a majority in the House of Representatives in 2018, the Republican Party has successively lost the White House and the Senate. Not only that, Trump and his team chose to instigate supporters protesting the election results to the Capitol on January 6, which led to the historic riots in which the mobs stormed the Capitol. Trump became the first in history when he was only a week before leaving office A US president who has been impeached twice. Trump’s series of actions before conceding defeat not only further aggravated the division of politics between the United States and the United States but once again forced the right-wing camp to make a statement about whether to embrace Trumpism. Although only ten Republican congressmen voted for the impeachment case, these ten votes mean that this impeachment is the most presidential party support in American history.
There is no doubt that the internal division of the American right is intensifying. The establishment politicians are vacillating between continuing to embrace Trumpism or returning to traditional conservatism. The new generation of ultra-right forces that were originally marginalized have also taken root during Trump’s tenure, and they have been cared for by Trump. Gradually became part of the Republican identity. The recent decision of the Republican leadership regarding the future direction will determine the success or failure of the American right for a considerable period of time in the future. This will also be an extremely difficult choice.
Trump’s Republican Party
Since the 2016 election, the Republican Party has become Trump’s party. Trump enjoys a very high approval rating among Republican voters, maintaining a rate of over 75% throughout the year. After the attack on the Capitol killed 5 people and Trump was impeached for the second time, 60% of Republicans still agreed with him. At the same time, even though Trump has acknowledged the result of the election defeat, 64% of Republicans still believe that Trump is the winner of the 2020 election.
For Republican politicians, the political cost of opposing Trump was once enormous. Trump adopted the “radish and big stick” approach to tightly control the Republican politicians. Once rebellious Republicans appeared, Trump labeled them as “RINO–Republicans in name only” and threatened to support other Republican candidates in challenging them in the primary election. At the same time, Trump, who is supported by most Republican voters, has a strong fundraising ability. He can use his supporters to make donations to support his congressmen to lure Republican congressmen who need campaign funds. In the past four years, Republican politicians who have had antagonisms with Trump have repeatedly sided with Trump on issues such as impeachment.
However, in the recent general election, some Republican candidates other than Trump performed far more than the results of previous polls. Instead of increasing seats in the House of Representatives, Democrats almost lost their majority advantage. In contrast, Trump not only lost to Democratic candidate Joe Biden, but it is also very likely to depress the voter turnout of Republican voters in the Georgia Senate runoff by questioning the election results, directly causing the Republicans to lose their majority in the Senate. The more regions Trump wins in the November election, the more Republican voters’ turnout in the Senate run-off will drop. Although Trump earned more than 74.22 million votes with his strong voter mobilization ability and became the second-largest presidential candidate in history, more opposition voters seem to have been mobilized by him, bringing 81.28 million The remaining votes went to Biden.
Trump’s strong influence in the party has forced most Republicans to be loyal to him in the past four years, but at this time the Republicans have to face the reality that the House, Senate, and White House have been lost. On January 5, the Georgia runoff ended, and Trump’s Republican Party completely lost. When Republicans were thinking about how to deal with this result, January 6th came.
The consequences of conspiracy theories
After the major media announced Biden’s victory on November 7th based on the results of the vote count, Trump immediately refused to admit defeat and tried to force Republican politicians to help him overturn the election results in the next two months. After the Electoral College voted to certify the election results on December 14, Trump’s only chance was to have at least one senator and the House of Representatives jointly raise an objection to the election results during the Congressional certification process on January 6. Obtained a majority of affirmative votes against certification of the election results in both houses. Even when the Democrats control the House of Representatives, the probability of success is close to zero. 12 Republican senators headed by Senator Ted Cruz and a majority of Republicans in the House of Representatives said in early January that they would vote against it. Certification election results.
At the same time, dozens of Republican candidates for the House of Representatives who openly supported the “QAnon” conspiracy theory ran for election in November. Among them, Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia and Lauren Boebert of Colorado were successfully elected. Although the FBI has identified the Anonymous Q conspiracy theory as a threat of domestic terrorism, both candidates have received public support from Trump and mainstream Republican funders. They were sworn in on January 3, and the absurdity and danger of Anonymous Q did not prevent them from being accepted by other Republican colleagues. Like them, hundreds of Republican politicians publicly expressed doubts about the results of the election and opposed the certification of election results.
Obviously, Republican politicians who voted against verifying election results did so to gain the support of increasingly radicalized right-wing voters in their districts. A series of far-right conspiracy theories headed by Anonymous Q have taken root in the Republican Party’s fundamentals and have actually affected Republican politics. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell warned colleagues who opposed the certification of the election results. If they vote against it, it means that many Republican lawmakers will be forced to vote against Trump in the final vote. This is undoubtedly detrimental to many Republicans who are facing re-election in 2022, but McConnell’s warning has not worked.
Trump supporters have been planning the “March For Trump” (March For Trump) campaign intensively since November. The bus that promotes the event has recruited supporters across the United States to march in solidarity with Trump. Such events attract a large number of extreme rightists who believe in other conspiracy theories such as Anonymous Q. On January 6, an event called “March to Save America” was held in Washington, DC. This day was the last chance for Trump supporters to win. A large number of heavily armed right-wingers gathered on The oval lawn in the Presidential Park, the riots are on the verge of breaking out.
Previously, Trump often spread conspiracy theories that benefit him to build momentum for himself. He emerged on the political stage a few years ago by questioning Obama’s birthplace. In the 2018 mid-term elections, many districts gave priority to the settlement of votes on the day due to the vote-counting process. The Republican Party, which took up a large number of votes on that day, initially led by a large margin, and then slowly fell behind as the calculation of mailed votes. Before losing the election, Trump and his team decided to take advantage of this phenomenon and drew up a plan to make Trump’s election a fait accompli through accusations of fraud and refused to admit defeat even if they lost the election. After losing the election, Trump repeatedly repeated the Democratic election fraud conspiracy theory and pinned his hopes of overturning the election results. Before January 6, Trump vigorously pressured Vice President Pence in an attempt to force him to overturn the election results, but Pence publicly stated that he had no right to do so. By the day of January 6, Trump still did not give up his plan and gave a speech in front of thousands of fans, calling on them to march into the Capitol and “fight” to “save democracy.”
His will was correctly conveyed to his target audience. Soon after Republican lawmakers opposed the certification of the election results as expected, the most radical conspiracy theorists took the lead, wounded and killed the police, and stormed the Capitol. Mobs who believe in conspiracy theories searched for Democratic House leader Nancy Pelosi and Vice President Pence in the Capitol. When they were stopped by the police, they in turn asked the police why they did not perform their duties to arrest the Vice President.
Before the riots that hit the Capitol, the then-Senate majority leader McConnell came to power to refute fellow Republicans who opposed the certification of the election results, saying that voting to validate the election results was the “most important vote” in his political career. After the riots, the frightened congressmen resumed the process of verifying election results that night. Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik, who had always been loyal to Trump, voted against the certification of the election results before the riots, but suddenly changed his mind after the riots and voted for certification. In the end, it was no surprise that Vice President Pence certified the election results, and Trump’s final struggle officially declared defeat.
The next day, Trump officially surrendered, and the nationwide calls for Trump’s impeachment rose. Soon, differences of opinion within the Republican Party surfaced. On January 12, House Republican Conference Chair Liz Cheney publicly stated that he would vote for Trump’s impeachment. Trump cronies in the party immediately began petitioning Cheney to resign as chairman, saying that her position did not reflect the majority opinion of the Republican Party meeting. The House of Representatives voted to formally impeach Trump the next day. Senate Republican leader McConnell, who had fought to protect Trump in previous impeachment cases, did not try to unify party opinions this time, but only urged Republicans on whether to impeach. Vote of Conscience”.
There have always been voices in the Republican Party against far-right populist politics, calling on the Republican Party to abandon Trumpism and return to the conservatism of the Reagan era. On January 16, Republican Senator Ben Sasse published an editorial lashing out at the Republican Party’s laissez-faire attitude towards the Anonymous Q conspiracy theory, saying that Anonymous Q was disintegrating the Republican Party from within. So far, Republicans who have condemned Trump include former Attorney General William Barr, former interim White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney, Maryland Governor Larry Hogan, Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker, and SARS and other congressmen. Although many Republicans have publicly condemned Trump, most of them have not expressed support for impeachment.
Although Trump’s approval rating among Republicans dropped sharply after January 6, he is still the most influential Republican politician. Polls show that only 30% of Republicans believe that Trump needs to bear “great” responsibility for the riots that hit the Capitol. Obviously, the conscience of the Republican Party is still on Trump’s side. Trump’s term is coming to an end, and when he leaves the White House, the impeachment case is likely to become a bargaining chip in the political game between the Republicans and the Democrats.
After Trump officially admitted defeat, some conspiracy theorists on the Internet refused to believe this fact and invented various theories to distort Trump’s message. They either suspect that the video was forged by the Democrats, or they think Trump’s words have other meanings. The riots on January 6 fueled the arrogance of extremists, and they were eager to try, who refused to accept Trump’s defeat.
Some Republican lawmakers said that because they received death threats from Trump supporters after January 6, they were afraid to vote for impeachment because of fear. Government agencies headed by the FBI and the Department of Homeland Security issued a joint announcement stating that on the day Biden was sworn in, the state capitals of the states and Washington, D.C. were facing security threats from local extremists. Due to safety hazards, Biden’s inauguration rehearsal was postponed by one day.
The emergence of such a large-scale extremist threat for political reasons indirectly shows that Trump’s fundamentals are mixed with a large number of extremists. The fundamental extremism under the democratic system will inevitably be reflected in the elected politicians. For example, the two new congressmen who publicly supported the anonymous Q conspiracy theory, or the Florida congressman Matt Gaetz, who publicly claimed that the anti-fascist organization (Antifa) planted the right-wing anti-serial behavior to attack the Capitol.
On the other hand, more radical extremists believe that Trump, who surrendered defeat, betrayed their anti-establishment movement. As early as last December, the extreme right opinion leader Milo Yiannopoulos expressed strong dissatisfaction with Trump after the Supreme Court rejected Texas’s request to overturn the election results. For many extreme rightists, Trump is just a political vehicle for them to overthrow the rule of the establishment and try to achieve a new order. Trump’s failure made them feel betrayed because they now have to find another way to achieve their goals. Law enforcement agencies are gradually arresting criminals who stormed the Capitol based on the videos and photos that thugs excitedly uploaded to the Internet. Trump’s acquiescence to this matter has even angered many self-proclaimed patriotic extremists.
Republicans must now be held accountable for allowing their party to slip to extremism over the past few years. Today, Twitter and Facebook have begun to wipe out extremist accounts on a large scale. Large companies have stopped donating to 147 Republican lawmakers who voted against verifying the election results. The National Rifle Association has gone bankrupt. challenge. In the post-Trump era, how can the Republican Party regain a city? Let us wait and see.
Trump refuses to testify during the Senate impeachment trial
Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives on February 4 asked former President Trump to testify for his defense during the Senate impeachment trial. In this regard, a Trump adviser said that Trump will not attend to testify during the impeachment trial.
According to a report by the Associated Press on February 4, shortly after the Democratic Party made the request, Trump’s adviser Jason Miller denounced the trial as violating the constitution and said Trump would not attend to testify. Earlier, Trump’s lawyers submitted a document to the Senate on February 2 denying allegations of Trump’s “sedition”. On the same day, the Democratic impeachment representative of the House of Representatives submitted an 80-page briefing on the impeachment lawsuit and believed that former President Trump should be convicted.
According to the report analysis, although Democrats have no power to force Trump to participate in testimony, their purpose is to make the violence that occurred in Congress on January 6 to be recorded in history and make Trump responsible for his remarks.
The impeachment trial will begin on February 9. Trump has also become the first president in American history to be impeached twice during his term. On January 6, when the Congress was counting the electoral votes in the presidential election, Trump supporters violently stormed the Congress, killing at least five people. In his speech earlier in the day, Trump called on his supporters to “do their best” to change the outcome of the election.
According to the impeachment procedure, two-thirds of the senators in the final verdict must agree to the conviction before the impeachment can take effect.
Biden delivered his first foreign policy speech after taking office: Ready to strengthen cooperation with China
At 14:45 pm on February 4, after meeting with officials of the State Department, US President Biden delivered his first foreign policy speech after taking office. In nearly 20 minutes, Biden first emphasized: “The United States is back.” Said that the United States will work hard to restore relations with NATO allies and Japan and South Korea. On the premise of ensuring that US economic interests and intellectual property rights are fully protected, the United States is ready to strengthen cooperation with China.
Biden said that the United States and its allies are paying close attention to the situation in Myanmar, calling on the military to abandon force, release detained senior government officials as soon as possible, ensure that the rights of the Myanmar people are not violated, and restore domestic communication restrictions. Sanctions.
In addition, Biden said that U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin and Secretary of State Brinken will work together to re-examine the U.S. military strategic deployment in the world, suspend the military redeployment plan in Germany, and take measures to end the long-lasting and serious cause in Yemen as soon as possible. The military conflict between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis in a humanitarian crisis. Biden also said that the United States and Russia have just reached an agreement to extend the “New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty” for five years to 2026. The United States is committed to effective arms control.
Biden emphasized that the new U.S. foreign policy is the domestic policy of the United States, and the essence of foreign policy is to protect the interests of the American people.
Biden turned his gun failed Obama
On January 20, Democrat Biden was sworn in as the 59th President of the United States in Washington, which also kicked off the prelude to the “turning out of chaos” that the elites of the two parties and the media under their command were expecting. On his first day in power, Biden lived up to expectations and signed 17 consecutive executive orders to liquidate Trump’s “political legacy.” Nine of them are directly related to the decisions made during Trump’s tenure, including returning to the WHO and the Paris Climate Agreement, stopping the construction of the U.S.-Mexico border wall, and revoking the U.S.-Canada “Keystone XL” oil pipeline construction permit. In addition to these, the Biden administration is also preparing to return to the Iran nuclear agreement.
On May 8, 2018, Trump announced his withdrawal from the treaty. Now Biden has released a rare positive signal and has received universal support from all countries in the world, of course, Israel is an exception. As early as the early stage of negotiations on the Iranian nuclear agreement, Israel vigorously opposed it. During the Trump era, the White House gave Israel this “great gift”, but now Biden wants to take it back, which naturally makes Tel Aviv highly dissatisfied. Guangming.com reported on January 27 that on January 26 local time, the Chief of Staff of the Israeli Defense Forces, Aviv Kohavey, publicly warned Biden that it would be a “wrong choice” for the United States to return to the Iran nuclear agreement, and said harshly. Said that it “has instructed the Israeli military to re-formulate its military plan against Iran.”
Kohavey is the highest general in the army, and his words are also the attitude of Netanyahu’s cabinet. Perhaps Netanyahu himself is unwilling to over-stimulate the United States, and he made Kohavey stand up. As we all know, the influence of Christian “evangelicals” and Israeli lobbying groups in the United States is extremely large, which naturally includes both houses of Congress.
According to the three-dimensional system, if Congress is constrained, the president’s road to governance will be extremely difficult. A large number of Democratic Party members and sponsors are also Jews. For example, Bloomberg, the founder of Bloomberg, is a Jew, and he once participated with Biden. Primary election within the party. Perhaps it was precisely because of pressure from Israel and its allies that the second-day Kohavey warned Biden, the latter turned his “gun”.
The Associated Press reported on January 27 that the Pentagon announced on the same day that the U.S. military had sent a B-52 strategic bomber to the Middle East to deter “potential aggression.” Although the Pentagon did not “name by name”, there is no doubt that the U.S. deterred The target is Iran. If Biden really cannot withstand the pressure from Tel Aviv and domestic pro-Israeli forces, the Democratic Party’s plan to return to the Iran nuclear agreement is likely to be stranded, and Obama may be disappointed this time.