More and more severe poll numbers show that the advantages of former Vice President Biden continue to expand (about 10% ahead). Faced with this situation, Senate Republicans, eager to maintain their majority party status, began to distance themselves from Trump, and there are still a few weeks before election day.
Republican Senator McConnell of Kentucky and his senior deputy, Senator John Corning, made a critical assessment of the government’s ineffectiveness in responding to the new coronavirus pandemic.
South Carolina Republican Senator Lindsey Graham and Maine Republican Senator Susan Collins parted ways with Trump last week. The reason is that Trump decided to cancel negotiations with House Democrats on the new coronavirus rescue plan, and he has since changed this decision. Senator Tom Tillis (Republican of North Carolina) apologized for not wearing a mask at a White House event where he and other senators contracted the new coronavirus.
In a debate last week, Arizona Republican Senator Martha McSally repeatedly avoided answering when asked if she was proud of supporting President Trump.
McSally said: “I am proud to fight for Arizonans on tax cuts and other issues. When asked about this again, she repeated: “I fight for Arizona every day and make legislation. Put it on President Trump’s desk and feel proud. Look at the bill we put on his desk. It is to cut taxes in Arizona. ”
The anxiety of Republicans is reminiscent of the final stage of the 2016 election, when the incumbents of the Republican Party raced to keep their distance from Trump, because a recording from “Into Hollywood” shows that Trump at the time expressed some shame on women Sexual speech.
However, the two senators who most severely condemned Trump, Kelly Ayote (Republican Party of New Hampshire), and Mark Kirk (Republican Party of Illinois), both lost their seats, which highlights their relationship with the Republican presidential candidates. The risk of people keeping their distance.
Others who kept their distance from Trump, including Ron Johnson (Republican of Wisconsin) and Pat Toumi (Republican of Pennsylvania), narrowly defeated the Democratic challenger.
But their election results show that everyone is taking high risks. This year’s incumbent’s performance is: they won a larger share of votes in the suburbs around Milwaukee and Philadelphia, and in more rural areas, they won Has fewer votes than Trump, where Trump’s support is stronger.
This is the problem facing the incumbents now: they must appease Trump’s supporters, including a large part of the Republican coalition, and they must appease the moderates in the suburbs, who hate the president but dislike Biden. He expressed support.
As U.S. politics becomes more and more nationalized, fewer and fewer voters are willing to divide votes between candidates for the president of one political party and candidates for the Senate and House of Representatives from another. In 2016, since the direct election of senators began a century ago, every contest in the U.S. Senate has broken the state’s presidential campaign.
Jay Chabria, a Republican strategist in Ohio, said, “In this case, all you have to do is to localize these campaigns. But it’s difficult to do.”
Only a few politicians have successfully established a personal brand, enough to overcome the changing political trends in the state. But even this year, some of the current lawmakers, such as Collins of Maine, are facing tremendous resistance. For others, it may be too late.
“If you want to leave the president in the final stages of the campaign and build your own brand, you may be in trouble,” said Ken Spaney, a senior Republican strategist and a senior position in the Republican National Committee of Congress. “This process needs to start a few months ago, even years ago.”
He said: “Some Republican senators have established their own brands in their states. Because of this, they still have a chance to win.”
Republican pollsters are paying close attention to the presidential and Senate campaign battlefields, and Republican candidates are paying close attention to President Trump in these states. The survey released last week showed that Tillis, McSally, and Jonny Ernst (Iowa Republican Party), Corey Gardner (Colorado Republican Party) and David Perdue (Georgia Republican Party) The votes in their hometowns are slightly lower than Trump.
Several Republican candidates have boldly hinted that Trump will lose and that the Republican Senate is the only barrier against liberalism.
This will determine the majority of seats in the Senate, and if Biden, Schumer, and Pelosi are in power, they will abolish obstruction. They will force through the most radical agenda we have ever seen. ”
Even Graham, who remodeled himself as one of Trump’s most loyal deputies, told voters that Trump might lose.
“If they keep the House of Representatives and take over the Senate and Biden’s President, God will help us all,” Graham said in a recent debate.